Comparación de Modelos — EpiForecast-MX

Resumen por Padecimiento

Promedio de métricas. Menor es mejor. Celda verde = ganador.

Padecimiento	RMSE Prophet	RMSE DeepAR	RMSE Ensemble	RMSE Stacking	MAE Prophet	MAE DeepAR	MAE Ensemble	MAE Stacking	SMAPE Prophet	SMAPE DeepAR	SMAPE Ensemble	SMAPE Stacking	MASE Prophet	MASE DeepAR	MASE Ensemble	MASE Stacking	Productivo	Overfitting	Leakage
Alzheimer	1.4235	0.0238	1.4388	1.4435	1.1451	0.0142	1.1276	1.0045	116.27	125.18	122.25	142.83	0.7762	0.4536	0.8183	0.6443	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (115.4%)
Depresión	31.2247	0.1867	32.5769	36.1302	25.6816	0.1027	25.0886	28.5408	29.26	7.49	27.75	27.97	0.9140	0.2543	0.9311	0.9715	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (88.6%)
Parkinson	4.0823	0.0388	3.7342	3.8042	3.1859	0.0225	2.8518	2.8853	77.73	56.73	76.13	87.50	0.7961	0.3624	0.7875	0.7796	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (111.6%)

Alzheimer

Detalle de métricas a nivel nacional y estatal

Nacional

Entidad	Sexo	RMSE P	RMSE D	RMSE E	RMSE S	MAE P	MAE D	MAE E	MAE S	SMAPE P	SMAPE D	SMAPE E	SMAPE S	MASE P	MASE D	MASE E	MASE S	Productivo	Overfitting	Leakage
Nacional	hombres	5.1668	N/A	5.4077	4.9851	4.2177	N/A	4.2353	3.6628	24.24	N/A	25.95	23.14	0.5729	N/A	0.5993	0.5191	Stacking	OK (1.1x)	OK (20.6%)
Nacional	mujeres	7.7588	N/A	7.2736	7.0196	6.2975	N/A	5.3062	5.3851	23.65	N/A	21.48	21.47	0.5713	N/A	0.5120	0.5196	Stacking	OK (0.7x)	OK (29.5%)
Nacional	total	10.8258	N/A	10.0289	9.6775	9.0505	N/A	7.3630	7.1563	20.35	N/A	18.01	17.57	0.5532	N/A	0.4776	0.4645	Stacking	OK (0.7x)	OK (25.1%)

Estatal (144 series)

Entidad	Sexo	RMSE P	RMSE D	RMSE E	RMSE S	MAE P	MAE D	MAE E	MAE S	SMAPE P	SMAPE D	SMAPE E	SMAPE S	MASE P	MASE D	MASE E	MASE S	Productivo	Overfitting	Leakage
Aguascalientes	hombres	0.3983	0.0308	0.4325	0.4264	0.2599	0.0108	0.3141	0.1455	193.74	200.00	190.86	200.00	0.9829	0.5821	1.1883	0.5502	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (194.0%)
Aguascalientes	mujeres	0.3443	0.0257	0.4035	0.3568	0.2906	0.0095	0.3712	0.1273	190.95	199.98	187.83	200.00	0.6243	0.2921	0.7974	0.2734	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (178.9%)
Aguascalientes	total	0.4883	0.0187	0.7766	0.5560	0.4464	0.0127	0.7188	0.2727	174.11	158.25	167.63	200.00	0.7082	0.2866	1.1405	0.4327	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (187.6%)
Baja California	hombres	0.8273	0.0126	0.8027	0.6850	0.7093	0.0077	0.7120	0.3665	143.59	160.58	150.74	199.44	0.8111	0.3452	0.8466	0.4358	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (135.6%)
Baja California	mujeres	1.1308	0.0100	1.1259	1.1077	0.9486	0.0056	0.9476	0.8260	84.73	125.18	135.40	157.94	0.6420	0.1512	0.6693	0.5835	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (81.8%)
Baja California	total	1.5666	0.0149	1.4304	1.2648	1.2922	0.0095	1.2147	1.0100	76.51	94.35	105.15	116.08	0.6440	0.1883	0.6328	0.5262	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (75.7%)
Baja California Sur	hombres	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.00	200.00	0.00	0.00	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Prophet	N/D	Sospechoso (0.00%)
Baja California Sur	mujeres	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.00	200.00	0.00	0.00	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Prophet	N/D	Sospechoso (0.00%)
Baja California Sur	total	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.00	200.00	0.00	0.00	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Prophet	N/D	Sospechoso (0.00%)
Campeche	hombres	0.4159	0.0401	0.7347	0.4671	0.3754	0.0231	0.6749	0.2182	181.15	189.34	167.35	200.00	0.9242	0.5277	1.6618	0.5372	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (197.8%)
Campeche	mujeres	0.4401	0.0495	0.4427	0.4862	0.3107	0.0186	0.3090	0.2000	189.79	200.00	190.21	200.00	0.7114	0.3964	0.7074	0.4579	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (183.4%)
Campeche	total	0.7946	0.0681	0.7178	0.7977	0.6527	0.0365	0.6076	0.4182	156.28	183.67	170.35	200.00	0.8978	0.4562	0.8174	0.5626	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (154.9%)
Chiapas	hombres	0.6745	0.0117	0.7113	0.7862	0.5724	0.0081	0.5860	0.4000	163.13	169.22	163.76	200.00	0.9894	0.7831	1.0128	0.6914	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (167.1%)
Chiapas	mujeres	0.7475	0.0136	0.8190	0.9342	0.6520	0.0089	0.6522	0.5091	151.13	164.74	159.42	200.00	0.8855	0.6853	0.9031	0.7049	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (150.0%)
Chiapas	total	1.1695	0.0169	1.0941	1.3242	0.8774	0.0110	0.8525	0.8926	108.62	117.16	113.30	176.78	0.8044	0.5589	0.7766	0.8131	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (106.8%)
Chihuahua	hombres	1.0270	0.0278	1.3821	1.5198	0.8219	0.0167	0.9948	0.9952	74.55	60.97	75.50	83.69	0.5878	0.4704	0.7504	0.7507	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (124.9%)
Chihuahua	mujeres	1.4797	0.0096	1.8649	1.6643	1.2017	0.0046	1.5070	1.3766	60.70	5.45	54.67	49.69	0.5859	0.0898	0.7843	0.7164	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (102.2%)
Chihuahua	total	1.8324	0.0366	2.7182	2.4692	1.5169	0.0211	2.1681	2.0060	46.52	16.70	51.11	46.81	0.5363	0.3039	0.8365	0.7739	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (88.0%)
Ciudad de Mexico	hombres	N/A	0.0096	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0058	N/A	N/A	N/A	173.07	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4603	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (178.0%)
Ciudad de Mexico	mujeres	N/A	0.0038	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0020	N/A	N/A	N/A	89.85	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1183	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.6x)	OK (150.7%)
Ciudad de Mexico	total	N/A	0.0078	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0043	N/A	N/A	N/A	62.72	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1853	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (119.0%)
Ciudad de México	hombres	0.8884	N/A	0.8328	1.0000	0.7254	N/A	0.6599	0.6000	144.48	N/A	144.87	200.00	0.5655	N/A	0.5666	0.5151	Prophet	OK (1.3x)	OK (114.1%)
Ciudad de México	mujeres	1.3952	N/A	1.3452	1.0840	1.1459	N/A	1.1560	0.9218	95.65	N/A	103.13	121.04	0.7091	N/A	0.7534	0.6007	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (88.7%)
Ciudad de México	total	1.7449	N/A	1.6430	1.4866	1.3004	N/A	1.4330	1.2680	79.94	N/A	88.58	92.30	0.5744	N/A	0.6782	0.6001	Prophet	Moderado (1.3x)	OK (61.5%)
Coahuila	hombres	0.9870	0.0463	1.2517	1.4793	0.7783	0.0291	0.9640	0.9190	127.33	185.49	137.98	187.70	0.9543	1.0758	1.1334	1.0805	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (148.4%)
Coahuila	mujeres	1.2548	0.0464	1.5019	1.5886	0.8837	0.0335	1.0379	1.0232	130.86	132.18	130.93	151.53	0.8916	1.0330	1.0164	1.0021	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (132.6%)
Coahuila	total	1.7572	0.0634	2.2051	2.2777	1.2548	0.0436	1.7590	1.6987	89.43	98.91	108.63	115.12	0.8068	0.8812	1.1294	1.0906	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (103.3%)
Colima	hombres	0.8843	0.0912	0.8964	1.0357	0.6642	0.0718	0.6630	0.5273	148.18	163.50	152.56	200.00	1.2747	1.0082	1.2724	1.0119	Prophet	OK (0.8x)	OK (174.8%)
Colima	mujeres	1.0312	0.1422	1.0981	1.2752	0.8730	0.0874	0.8252	0.7177	130.92	176.55	153.50	194.57	1.2401	0.8299	1.0715	0.9320	Prophet	OK (0.8x)	OK (155.3%)
Colima	total	1.3594	0.1585	1.5203	1.7127	1.1487	0.1122	1.1163	1.1504	107.17	123.50	107.59	150.66	1.0877	0.7283	0.9910	1.0213	Prophet	OK (0.8x)	OK (130.6%)
Durango	hombres	1.1382	0.0596	1.1753	1.2577	0.7985	0.0424	0.7890	0.7091	145.69	159.69	151.35	200.00	1.2443	1.2106	1.2295	1.1049	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (168.9%)
Durango	mujeres	0.8584	0.0450	0.9592	1.0092	0.7125	0.0238	0.8074	0.5795	136.63	167.20	144.81	188.80	0.9529	0.5653	1.0458	0.7506	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (145.9%)
Durango	total	1.1586	0.0753	1.7626	1.7026	0.8864	0.0450	1.2828	1.1414	101.32	115.81	114.74	117.37	0.7653	0.7215	1.1197	0.9964	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (111.2%)
Guanajuato	hombres	0.5895	0.0100	0.6364	0.7135	0.5333	0.0079	0.5156	0.4000	161.44	159.63	177.12	200.00	0.8950	0.8159	0.8655	0.6714	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (198.4%)
Guanajuato	mujeres	0.8106	0.0140	0.8941	1.2980	0.6598	0.0100	0.7188	0.9987	133.21	107.10	101.95	199.28	0.7807	0.7433	0.8626	1.1984	Ensemble	OK (0.7x)	OK (141.6%)
Guanajuato	total	1.0251	0.0091	1.2463	1.4453	0.7506	0.0050	0.9705	1.0767	88.89	59.25	86.28	111.77	0.6297	0.2663	0.8388	0.9305	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (192.5%)
Guerrero	hombres	0.4516	0.0136	0.4548	0.5045	0.3258	0.0071	0.3539	0.2182	188.15	192.03	184.88	200.00	0.7237	0.5570	0.7861	0.4846	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (193.0%)
Guerrero	mujeres	0.6192	0.0195	0.6496	0.7385	0.5219	0.0135	0.5145	0.4000	166.85	181.58	172.19	200.00	0.8540	0.7810	0.8419	0.6545	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (170.6%)
Guerrero	total	0.8701	0.0252	0.8177	1.0047	0.6913	0.0175	0.6314	0.6186	152.14	161.12	153.10	195.28	0.7791	0.7088	0.7228	0.7081	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (143.6%)
Hidalgo	hombres	0.4712	0.0162	0.4641	0.4862	0.3652	0.0056	0.2999	0.1636	189.09	200.00	191.08	200.00	0.8147	0.3862	0.6689	0.3650	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (180.4%)
Hidalgo	mujeres	0.8007	0.0255	0.8322	0.9723	0.6670	0.0140	0.6257	0.5455	160.15	172.98	168.31	200.00	1.1645	0.7546	1.0924	0.9523	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (170.8%)
Hidalgo	total	0.7772	0.0268	0.9170	1.1521	0.6663	0.0163	0.7720	0.7091	136.70	156.82	149.02	200.00	0.7321	0.5733	0.8819	0.8099	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (138.3%)
Jalisco	hombres	1.5490	0.0114	2.2353	2.3576	1.3198	0.0068	1.5651	1.3058	78.99	81.94	97.70	106.73	0.7652	0.3313	0.9129	0.7616	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (82.1%)
Jalisco	mujeres	2.0306	0.0155	2.1034	2.0040	1.6557	0.0100	1.5999	1.4207	64.95	64.63	80.60	77.82	0.8152	0.4023	0.7718	0.6854	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (128.4%)
Jalisco	total	2.8166	0.0293	3.5499	3.5907	2.2605	0.0151	2.4743	2.1506	53.34	41.05	65.98	59.30	0.7682	0.4226	0.8306	0.7219	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (112.7%)
Mexico	hombres	N/A	0.0032	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0020	N/A	N/A	N/A	99.62	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2762	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.7x)	OK (140.9%)
Mexico	mujeres	N/A	0.0046	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0031	N/A	N/A	N/A	84.70	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3467	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.7x)	OK (114.2%)
Mexico	total	N/A	0.0031	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0014	N/A	N/A	N/A	37.65	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1076	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (76.7%)
Michoacan	hombres	N/A	0.0128	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0090	N/A	N/A	N/A	146.16	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5734	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.9x)	OK (165.2%)
Michoacan	mujeres	N/A	0.0171	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0120	N/A	N/A	N/A	119.95	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5442	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.7x)	OK (172.2%)
Michoacan	total	N/A	0.0149	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0085	N/A	N/A	N/A	70.48	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2724	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (152.4%)
Michoacán	hombres	0.7396	N/A	0.7013	0.8739	0.6585	N/A	0.6036	0.5455	140.53	N/A	144.70	200.00	0.8854	N/A	0.8058	0.7282	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (143.7%)
Michoacán	mujeres	1.1150	N/A	0.9456	1.0713	0.8763	N/A	0.7654	0.7969	111.99	N/A	119.39	159.45	0.8471	N/A	0.7317	0.7619	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (122.4%)
Michoacán	total	1.4170	N/A	1.3113	1.3759	1.1810	N/A	1.0207	1.0395	94.05	N/A	95.16	105.46	0.7950	N/A	0.6875	0.7001	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (92.0%)
Morelos	hombres	0.7527	0.0354	0.8453	0.9045	0.6025	0.0234	0.6600	0.5273	161.32	175.36	158.70	200.00	1.0244	0.7887	1.1222	0.8965	Ensemble	OK (0.9x)	OK (174.0%)
Morelos	mujeres	0.7273	0.0377	0.7719	0.8421	0.6063	0.0258	0.6494	0.5273	160.46	161.09	140.61	200.00	0.8094	0.7013	0.8921	0.7243	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (182.4%)
Morelos	total	1.0408	0.0507	1.2972	1.4608	0.7646	0.0368	1.0389	1.0392	124.21	115.64	97.28	188.65	0.6527	0.6466	0.9207	0.9209	Ensemble	OK (0.5x)	OK (187.3%)
México	hombres	1.4637	N/A	0.9777	0.9381	1.1782	N/A	0.7753	0.7256	129.40	N/A	111.15	156.41	1.0850	N/A	0.6324	0.5919	Ensemble	OK (0.6x)	OK (184.3%)
México	mujeres	1.6987	N/A	1.2514	1.3736	1.3609	N/A	0.9520	1.0520	101.87	N/A	98.97	116.21	0.9707	N/A	0.6173	0.6822	Ensemble	OK (0.6x)	OK (177.4%)
México	total	2.8103	N/A	2.0619	1.6640	2.2728	N/A	1.4962	1.2221	88.02	N/A	95.35	69.94	1.2031	N/A	0.6774	0.5533	Stacking	OK (0.7x)	OK (106.0%)
Nayarit	hombres	0.6991	0.0582	0.7347	0.8090	0.5197	0.0339	0.4957	0.4000	168.10	183.55	178.39	200.00	0.7557	0.6098	0.7208	0.5816	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (159.8%)
Nayarit	mujeres	0.7822	0.0572	0.8628	1.0439	0.6752	0.0460	0.7225	0.6568	147.70	140.12	145.19	196.03	0.6983	0.6108	0.7745	0.7040	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (134.7%)
Nayarit	total	0.9817	0.0439	1.1361	1.3125	0.7756	0.0290	0.8837	0.9489	108.91	93.58	114.90	149.60	0.5507	0.2678	0.6590	0.7076	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (112.6%)
Nuevo Leon	hombres	N/A	0.0159	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0120	N/A	N/A	N/A	125.11	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.6206	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (130.0%)
Nuevo Leon	mujeres	N/A	0.0171	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0109	N/A	N/A	N/A	100.95	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3835	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (105.9%)
Nuevo Leon	total	N/A	0.0217	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0136	N/A	N/A	N/A	71.86	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3748	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (91.1%)
Nuevo León	hombres	0.8802	N/A	0.9616	1.2245	0.7231	N/A	0.6777	0.8225	105.73	N/A	111.89	176.17	0.6030	N/A	0.6058	0.7352	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (99.4%)
Nuevo León	mujeres	1.2175	N/A	1.5900	1.7318	0.9713	N/A	1.2672	1.2285	93.00	N/A	116.30	142.48	0.5681	N/A	0.7718	0.7483	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (83.6%)
Nuevo León	total	1.5579	N/A	2.1189	2.1893	1.2515	N/A	1.7242	1.5803	67.19	N/A	91.46	102.39	0.5696	N/A	0.8219	0.7533	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (62.0%)
Oaxaca	hombres	0.8254	0.0242	0.9533	1.1442	0.6333	0.0153	0.7378	0.6545	165.95	181.15	154.91	200.00	0.8436	0.8566	1.0004	0.8875	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (151.6%)
Oaxaca	mujeres	1.0515	0.0313	1.2747	1.4568	0.7811	0.0195	1.0585	0.9824	110.34	155.47	140.71	176.17	0.7939	0.8182	1.0729	0.9958	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (124.4%)
Oaxaca	total	1.4220	0.0430	1.8551	2.0591	1.0562	0.0271	1.3891	1.4141	90.79	130.41	111.41	130.60	0.7190	0.7848	0.9746	0.9921	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (102.1%)
Puebla	hombres	1.1919	0.0189	1.2356	1.3817	0.7970	0.0095	0.7800	0.6727	148.66	163.54	154.19	200.00	1.2272	0.9665	1.2011	1.0359	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (171.9%)
Puebla	mujeres	1.2715	0.0134	1.3619	1.3024	0.9546	0.0085	0.9882	0.6983	155.26	161.01	151.76	191.04	0.7249	0.4442	0.7864	0.5557	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (148.3%)
Puebla	total	1.8750	0.0202	1.9480	1.9558	1.5405	0.0133	1.3889	1.2826	131.31	118.47	119.08	136.09	0.8629	0.5093	0.8065	0.7448	DeepAR	OK (0.7x)	OK (174.6%)
Queretaro	hombres	N/A	0.0158	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0045	N/A	N/A	N/A	199.98	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3510	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (200.0%)
Queretaro	mujeres	N/A	0.0155	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0041	N/A	N/A	N/A	199.99	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3145	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (200.0%)
Queretaro	total	N/A	0.0197	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0099	N/A	N/A	N/A	192.77	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4123	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (197.6%)
Querétaro	hombres	0.3694	N/A	0.3833	0.3814	0.2540	N/A	0.2853	0.1091	195.07	N/A	193.46	200.00	0.8392	N/A	0.9427	0.3604	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (196.4%)
Querétaro	mujeres	0.4546	N/A	0.4889	0.4671	0.2792	N/A	0.4026	0.1455	194.10	N/A	187.59	200.00	0.9110	N/A	1.3136	0.4745	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (193.2%)
Querétaro	total	0.5544	N/A	0.6215	0.6030	0.4496	N/A	0.5030	0.2545	181.85	N/A	185.83	200.00	0.7875	N/A	0.8811	0.4459	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (174.5%)
Quintana Roo	hombres	0.3096	0.0167	0.3301	0.3303	0.2012	0.0052	0.2200	0.1091	195.43	199.99	196.52	200.00	0.6525	0.3124	0.7134	0.3537	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (189.9%)
Quintana Roo	mujeres	0.6172	0.0350	0.6284	0.6742	0.4273	0.0145	0.3686	0.2727	184.71	199.99	188.36	200.00	1.0673	0.6758	0.9205	0.6812	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (184.9%)
Quintana Roo	total	0.6440	0.0340	0.6513	0.7508	0.5372	0.0247	0.5117	0.3818	165.22	165.44	168.03	200.00	0.8549	0.7338	0.8143	0.6076	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (164.8%)
San Luis Potosi	hombres	N/A	0.0089	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0024	N/A	N/A	N/A	199.99	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1316	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (200.0%)
San Luis Potosi	mujeres	N/A	0.0102	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0035	N/A	N/A	N/A	191.70	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1302	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (200.0%)
San Luis Potosi	total	N/A	0.0092	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0032	N/A	N/A	N/A	178.86	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0829	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.9x)	OK (192.2%)
San Luis Potosí	hombres	0.3220	N/A	0.4648	0.2697	0.2977	N/A	0.4342	0.0727	194.09	N/A	193.41	200.00	0.5798	N/A	0.8458	0.1417	Ensemble	OK (1.2x)	OK (166.6%)
San Luis Potosí	mujeres	0.8834	N/A	0.6339	0.3130	0.7277	N/A	0.6000	0.1776	133.12	N/A	184.39	196.29	0.9939	N/A	0.7849	0.2323	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (146.0%)
San Luis Potosí	total	1.0489	N/A	1.1545	0.5106	0.8016	N/A	1.0718	0.4956	95.30	N/A	168.14	175.16	0.7541	N/A	0.9973	0.4611	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (108.2%)
Sinaloa	hombres	1.2482	0.0198	1.0639	1.1182	0.9861	0.0132	0.9255	0.9530	90.19	83.46	119.46	121.90	0.6575	0.2733	0.6340	0.6528	DeepAR	OK (0.7x)	OK (114.0%)
Sinaloa	mujeres	1.4524	0.0146	1.5715	1.6388	1.1748	0.0068	1.2149	1.3044	77.15	51.75	73.47	91.88	0.6933	0.1226	0.7289	0.7826	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (97.2%)
Sinaloa	total	2.1027	0.0220	1.8454	1.8893	1.7269	0.0119	1.5242	1.4888	61.78	30.43	55.08	59.09	0.6887	0.1488	0.6285	0.6138	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (78.0%)
Sonora	hombres	0.7698	0.0266	0.8295	0.9535	0.6492	0.0183	0.6576	0.5455	136.80	160.85	156.43	200.00	0.6088	0.5525	0.6731	0.5627	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (125.3%)
Sonora	mujeres	1.0075	0.0166	1.0740	1.2251	0.7936	0.0086	0.8942	0.9126	109.31	97.01	115.82	170.37	0.6565	0.2181	0.7665	0.7822	DeepAR	OK (0.6x)	OK (161.2%)
Sonora	total	1.2792	0.0334	1.3992	1.6069	1.0328	0.0220	1.1202	1.2387	83.27	88.28	84.41	124.30	0.5684	0.3807	0.6592	0.7306	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (76.8%)
Tabasco	hombres	0.5916	0.0203	0.5647	0.6030	0.5444	0.0111	0.4845	0.2545	177.12	186.18	179.25	200.00	0.8408	0.4121	0.7482	0.3931	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (163.1%)
Tabasco	mujeres	0.5624	0.0232	0.6346	0.5222	0.5304	0.0103	0.6060	0.2000	180.70	199.98	177.27	200.00	0.7957	0.3706	0.9091	0.3000	Ensemble	OK (1.1x)	OK (156.6%)
Tabasco	total	1.0933	0.0245	0.7973	0.6817	0.9171	0.0193	0.7002	0.5132	101.59	155.31	138.94	173.51	0.8186	0.4179	0.6324	0.4634	Prophet	OK (0.8x)	OK (126.3%)
Tamaulipas	hombres	1.0987	0.0131	1.0952	0.9343	0.8493	0.0069	0.9271	0.7725	106.81	121.78	123.33	134.00	0.7358	0.2149	0.8244	0.6869	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (100.9%)
Tamaulipas	mujeres	1.6631	0.0318	1.5272	1.3160	1.2546	0.0193	1.2964	1.0842	85.03	92.35	99.89	99.30	0.8172	0.4352	0.8283	0.6927	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (85.1%)
Tamaulipas	total	2.1361	0.0219	2.1427	2.0818	1.6270	0.0111	1.7600	1.7194	65.27	45.21	80.96	80.90	0.7398	0.1788	0.8031	0.7845	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (88.1%)
Tlaxcala	hombres	0.3623	0.0292	0.3896	0.3814	0.2011	0.0086	0.3125	0.1091	196.67	200.00	193.49	200.00	0.9545	0.5478	1.4830	0.5177	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (200.0%)
Tlaxcala	mujeres	0.1883	0.0146	0.2851	0.1907	0.0954	0.0029	0.2673	0.0364	199.17	200.00	197.20	200.00	0.3194	0.1305	0.8943	0.1217	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (193.9%)
Tlaxcala	total	0.4812	0.0386	0.4896	0.5045	0.2906	0.0115	0.2721	0.1455	193.92	200.00	194.66	200.00	0.6322	0.3361	0.5918	0.3164	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (183.4%)
Veracruz	hombres	1.1775	0.0088	1.2110	1.0715	0.8900	0.0050	1.0186	0.7932	88.32	112.99	116.75	141.85	0.7376	0.3340	0.8413	0.6551	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (88.9%)
Veracruz	mujeres	1.5042	0.0068	1.2611	1.1382	1.2682	0.0028	1.0666	0.9512	78.00	67.41	88.86	94.24	0.7459	0.1365	0.6407	0.5714	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (145.6%)
Veracruz	total	2.0927	0.0088	1.9433	1.7094	1.6839	0.0039	1.5946	1.4246	61.33	52.20	80.38	85.33	0.7185	0.1332	0.6840	0.6111	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (125.6%)
Yucatan	hombres	N/A	0.0155	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0123	N/A	N/A	N/A	189.15	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5679	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.1x)	OK (176.0%)
Yucatan	mujeres	N/A	0.0218	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0104	N/A	N/A	N/A	194.94	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3210	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (199.5%)
Yucatan	total	N/A	0.0241	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0142	N/A	N/A	N/A	168.51	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3136	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (174.2%)
Yucatán	hombres	0.3358	N/A	0.3492	0.3568	0.2687	N/A	0.2494	0.1273	191.70	N/A	191.51	200.00	0.5334	N/A	0.4950	0.2526	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (200.0%)
Yucatán	mujeres	0.8097	N/A	0.5745	0.6030	0.6456	N/A	0.4220	0.2545	163.37	N/A	188.23	200.00	0.8568	N/A	0.5634	0.3398	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (149.9%)
Yucatán	total	1.0042	N/A	0.7192	0.7034	0.8142	N/A	0.6420	0.4011	135.88	N/A	157.62	195.39	0.7664	N/A	0.6115	0.3821	Prophet	OK (1.2x)	OK (117.5%)
Zacatecas	hombres	0.3092	0.0191	0.3140	0.3303	0.1913	0.0059	0.1904	0.1091	195.85	200.00	195.20	200.00	0.9077	0.4564	0.9037	0.5177	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (191.2%)
Zacatecas	mujeres	0.3342	0.0226	0.3579	0.3568	0.2551	0.0083	0.2651	0.1273	192.60	199.99	194.39	200.00	0.8537	0.4508	0.8870	0.4259	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (192.4%)
Zacatecas	total	0.4624	0.0320	0.4997	0.5222	0.3715	0.0142	0.3719	0.2364	183.80	199.96	187.17	200.00	0.7884	0.4903	0.7892	0.5016	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (182.8%)
general	total	N/A	0.0066	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0055	N/A	N/A	N/A	17.38	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4491	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.7x)	OK (26.3%)
hombres	total	N/A	0.0041	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0033	N/A	N/A	N/A	27.02	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5869	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.9x)	OK (29.7%)
mujeres	total	N/A	0.0061	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0051	N/A	N/A	N/A	25.59	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.6234	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.7x)	OK (36.6%)
region Metropolitana alta	hombres	N/A	0.0041	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0033	N/A	N/A	N/A	38.22	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4343	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (49.8%)
region Metropolitana alta	mujeres	N/A	0.0068	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0059	N/A	N/A	N/A	44.78	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5947	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (58.1%)
region Metropolitana alta	total	N/A	0.0093	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0071	N/A	N/A	N/A	31.93	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5277	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (40.6%)
region Rural / dispersa	hombres	N/A	0.0026	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0013	N/A	N/A	N/A	25.59	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1581	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (87.7%)
region Rural / dispersa	mujeres	N/A	0.0042	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0021	N/A	N/A	N/A	15.75	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1801	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (76.1%)
region Rural / dispersa	total	N/A	0.0025	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0014	N/A	N/A	N/A	6.54	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0851	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (63.5%)
region Sur-Sureste vulnerable	hombres	N/A	0.0045	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0022	N/A	N/A	N/A	40.21	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2186	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (93.7%)
region Sur-Sureste vulnerable	mujeres	N/A	0.0063	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0032	N/A	N/A	N/A	42.22	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2599	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (101.8%)
region Sur-Sureste vulnerable	total	N/A	0.0081	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0038	N/A	N/A	N/A	21.96	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2130	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (79.3%)
region Urbana media	hombres	N/A	0.0043	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0022	N/A	N/A	N/A	15.44	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2139	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (52.0%)
region Urbana media	mujeres	N/A	0.0019	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0010	N/A	N/A	N/A	3.35	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0732	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (39.1%)
region Urbana media	total	N/A	0.0039	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0020	N/A	N/A	N/A	4.57	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0990	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (36.7%)
region_Metropolitana alta	hombres	2.5391	N/A	2.3867	2.7665	2.1043	N/A	1.6370	1.9233	49.84	N/A	43.82	55.03	0.6853	N/A	0.5391	0.6334	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (53.4%)
region_Metropolitana alta	mujeres	3.2986	N/A	2.7591	2.6411	2.7049	N/A	2.2615	2.2101	40.91	N/A	43.38	42.96	0.6763	N/A	0.5700	0.5571	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (41.9%)
region_Metropolitana alta	total	5.0097	N/A	3.9593	3.8109	4.2509	N/A	3.0145	2.9275	37.76	N/A	33.97	32.63	0.7987	N/A	0.5549	0.5388	Stacking	OK (0.8x)	OK (39.6%)
region_Rural / dispersa	hombres	1.8886	N/A	1.9641	2.0769	1.5516	N/A	1.5437	1.5702	52.27	N/A	59.69	62.88	0.6584	N/A	0.6783	0.6900	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (46.0%)
region_Rural / dispersa	mujeres	2.9694	N/A	2.3349	2.4199	2.4566	N/A	1.8170	1.8531	52.57	N/A	43.68	44.93	0.6881	N/A	0.5347	0.5453	Ensemble	OK (1.1x)	OK (38.4%)
region_Rural / dispersa	total	3.9178	N/A	3.3467	3.3318	3.3002	N/A	2.5940	2.5402	41.74	N/A	37.98	36.65	0.6730	N/A	0.5600	0.5484	Stacking	OK (1.0x)	OK (37.0%)
region_Sur-Sureste vulnerable	hombres	1.5965	N/A	1.3381	1.3587	1.2595	N/A	1.1321	1.0125	68.30	N/A	66.62	65.23	0.7196	N/A	0.6515	0.5827	Stacking	OK (0.8x)	OK (79.1%)
region_Sur-Sureste vulnerable	mujeres	1.8749	N/A	1.9363	1.8963	1.5329	N/A	1.6368	1.4716	59.51	N/A	72.62	72.11	0.7032	N/A	0.7725	0.6946	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (56.5%)
region_Sur-Sureste vulnerable	total	2.4336	N/A	2.6995	2.6077	2.0210	N/A	2.3010	2.0913	42.61	N/A	56.90	54.51	0.6309	N/A	0.7512	0.6827	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (39.4%)
region_Urbana media	hombres	3.2132	N/A	3.5314	3.2607	2.5831	N/A	2.7881	2.5793	34.40	N/A	37.49	36.23	0.5945	N/A	0.6661	0.6179	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (38.0%)
region_Urbana media	mujeres	4.2875	N/A	4.1257	4.1144	3.3987	N/A	3.3845	3.2622	27.93	N/A	27.43	26.83	0.5819	N/A	0.6052	0.5834	Stacking	OK (0.8x)	OK (33.6%)
region_Urbana media	total	5.8316	N/A	5.6784	5.3853	4.6369	N/A	4.7324	4.2878	23.15	N/A	23.83	21.91	0.5351	N/A	0.5826	0.5279	Stacking	OK (0.8x)	OK (25.8%)

Depresión

Detalle de métricas a nivel nacional y estatal

Nacional

Entidad	Sexo	RMSE P	RMSE D	RMSE E	RMSE S	MAE P	MAE D	MAE E	MAE S	SMAPE P	SMAPE D	SMAPE E	SMAPE S	MASE P	MASE D	MASE E	MASE S	Productivo	Overfitting	Leakage
Nacional	hombres	101.4405	N/A	156.1052	232.4054	86.5120	N/A	120.7775	195.1775	12.64	N/A	15.78	28.18	0.7583	N/A	1.0470	1.6919	Prophet	Alto (2.0x)	OK (6.2%)
Nacional	mujeres	270.0428	N/A	239.4196	289.1227	225.8957	N/A	146.3557	199.2456	12.28	N/A	7.11	9.55	0.7132	N/A	0.4626	0.6298	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (6.9%)
Nacional	total	361.0998	N/A	372.2314	571.4408	305.7308	N/A	251.8013	460.9815	12.16	N/A	8.75	16.97	0.7201	N/A	0.5907	1.0814	Ensemble	OK (1.1x)	OK (8.1%)

Estatal (144 series)

Entidad	Sexo	RMSE P	RMSE D	RMSE E	RMSE S	MAE P	MAE D	MAE E	MAE S	SMAPE P	SMAPE D	SMAPE E	SMAPE S	MASE P	MASE D	MASE E	MASE S	Productivo	Overfitting	Leakage
Aguascalientes	hombres	3.6930	0.0814	4.9250	4.9799	2.8272	0.0356	3.2936	3.3935	39.77	5.19	33.98	35.42	0.5036	0.1012	0.6517	0.6715	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (94.0%)
Aguascalientes	mujeres	7.4048	0.0643	6.0554	6.4662	6.0875	0.0401	4.8048	5.1160	32.08	2.36	20.28	21.49	0.4729	0.0492	0.4112	0.4379	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (83.4%)
Aguascalientes	total	9.5576	0.2562	8.0427	8.9926	7.8026	0.0851	5.9706	6.7118	30.31	4.03	17.70	20.05	0.4587	0.0791	0.3863	0.4342	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (84.4%)
Baja California	hombres	8.7286	0.0657	8.6407	9.8418	6.9278	0.0389	6.7323	7.8421	25.62	5.60	22.15	24.48	0.7723	0.1619	0.7444	0.8671	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (132.7%)
Baja California	mujeres	13.5930	0.1167	19.0014	15.4413	10.9588	0.0711	13.0156	10.7346	18.07	3.63	18.08	14.55	0.6073	0.1571	0.7597	0.6266	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (99.6%)
Baja California	total	20.0559	0.1195	27.4697	20.5683	15.5431	0.0542	20.5882	13.7475	17.63	2.09	20.70	12.95	0.6245	0.0854	0.8592	0.5737	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (109.0%)
Baja California Sur	hombres	6.2140	0.1119	2.3522	2.5643	5.3630	0.0458	1.9390	2.0655	66.78	21.99	55.65	62.97	1.5448	0.0873	0.4628	0.4930	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (77.8%)
Baja California Sur	mujeres	6.4352	0.3710	4.7269	4.4758	5.0355	0.2234	3.6185	3.0654	36.21	18.05	35.27	31.38	0.8768	0.3010	0.6085	0.5155	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (53.7%)
Baja California Sur	total	12.0889	0.2909	5.8228	6.0307	9.8807	0.1349	4.1885	4.5178	44.16	7.82	30.68	34.58	1.2724	0.1230	0.4779	0.5155	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (53.1%)
Campeche	hombres	3.2219	0.2878	4.2007	3.8694	2.5946	0.1288	3.1475	2.9376	38.26	12.81	36.12	33.75	0.8016	0.3592	0.9437	0.8808	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (76.7%)
Campeche	mujeres	6.1535	0.3078	8.1780	8.1177	4.8331	0.1655	6.4537	6.4525	28.76	7.06	28.67	28.60	0.7369	0.2315	0.9722	0.9721	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (69.1%)
Campeche	total	7.5007	0.4219	10.7441	10.1951	5.8708	0.2084	8.7103	8.4589	25.10	5.92	28.49	27.56	0.7052	0.2315	1.0409	1.0109	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (67.4%)
Chiapas	hombres	5.0825	0.0426	7.5475	5.3359	4.0307	0.0251	6.0099	4.2862	40.75	10.84	42.87	28.65	1.1047	0.3491	1.5046	1.0731	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (123.0%)
Chiapas	mujeres	16.2109	0.1459	20.3077	19.8794	12.7369	0.0956	17.4077	16.3298	37.48	10.74	35.66	29.12	1.2771	0.4885	1.5878	1.4895	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (95.1%)
Chiapas	total	20.1948	0.1176	26.1397	16.8593	16.2460	0.0795	22.2866	13.8288	38.44	6.39	35.54	20.29	1.3172	0.3265	1.6376	1.0161	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (97.9%)
Chihuahua	hombres	16.6762	0.1260	13.8317	14.0686	14.2392	0.0570	10.5284	10.7215	35.30	5.76	26.13	26.89	0.7253	0.1212	0.5956	0.6065	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (69.2%)
Chihuahua	mujeres	40.6471	0.1560	34.1573	25.6427	34.4023	0.0769	27.0315	17.6578	31.44	2.98	26.15	16.38	0.9527	0.0844	0.7894	0.5157	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (47.6%)
Chihuahua	total	58.1400	0.2724	37.6510	34.0392	49.8392	0.1368	27.4762	22.3057	32.48	3.73	18.62	14.86	0.9305	0.1038	0.5543	0.4500	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (52.4%)
Ciudad de Mexico	hombres	N/A	0.0803	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0360	N/A	N/A	N/A	2.66	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1310	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (67.0%)
Ciudad de Mexico	mujeres	N/A	0.2376	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1189	N/A	N/A	N/A	3.24	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1612	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (62.3%)
Ciudad de Mexico	total	N/A	0.3115	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1526	N/A	N/A	N/A	3.48	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1592	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (63.7%)
Ciudad de México	hombres	26.0840	N/A	22.3420	21.5345	19.5305	N/A	18.2355	16.8020	17.70	N/A	14.46	13.26	0.7936	N/A	0.7212	0.6645	Stacking	OK (0.6x)	OK (21.8%)
Ciudad de México	mujeres	61.9672	N/A	51.2975	84.3538	47.4669	N/A	40.7952	72.6224	16.70	N/A	12.28	23.26	0.7064	N/A	0.6004	1.0688	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (12.8%)
Ciudad de México	total	83.4830	N/A	65.2150	117.2731	63.1291	N/A	51.0672	101.1973	15.95	N/A	11.19	23.70	0.7317	N/A	0.5785	1.1465	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (14.5%)
Coahuila	hombres	8.4032	0.0229	6.7184	6.9107	6.8769	0.0097	5.1409	5.5570	47.50	2.12	32.81	36.51	1.1931	0.0475	0.7944	0.8587	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (76.6%)
Coahuila	mujeres	15.2768	0.1605	12.6970	13.2642	12.6306	0.0811	10.0027	10.2140	34.22	7.78	26.18	27.66	0.8518	0.1714	0.6690	0.6831	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (42.4%)
Coahuila	total	21.7924	0.0855	17.1115	18.3484	18.1401	0.0323	13.9642	14.2823	34.72	2.15	25.59	27.18	0.9204	0.0507	0.6930	0.7088	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (47.8%)
Colima	hombres	7.0872	0.3602	11.6637	10.2103	5.6720	0.1438	10.0597	8.4051	48.86	5.99	66.11	40.90	1.7302	0.2508	2.3923	1.9988	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (136.4%)
Colima	mujeres	11.7360	0.5855	13.5693	14.2133	9.3014	0.2004	12.1347	11.3617	35.10	4.41	38.14	29.95	1.1144	0.1566	1.2967	1.2141	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (99.6%)
Colima	total	17.6250	0.9596	23.0837	23.6884	14.2564	0.5059	19.8365	18.9339	36.49	7.63	41.10	32.12	1.3721	0.2990	1.6029	1.5300	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (109.9%)
Durango	hombres	7.0506	0.0615	9.1482	9.3077	5.8923	0.0238	7.3237	7.7393	31.20	2.52	35.78	37.42	0.7524	0.0566	0.9421	0.9955	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (94.1%)
Durango	mujeres	23.7515	0.8899	25.8827	27.4414	18.6911	0.5065	21.2133	22.5847	30.77	16.90	34.52	35.95	0.9398	0.4599	1.0489	1.1167	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (78.8%)
Durango	total	28.5649	1.0248	32.3974	34.7146	23.0179	0.5705	25.5286	28.6454	29.05	12.91	30.67	33.60	0.9078	0.4082	0.9926	1.1138	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (79.1%)
Guanajuato	hombres	6.7424	0.0250	7.0593	7.1622	5.4145	0.0161	4.7784	5.4284	25.65	3.66	19.09	21.56	0.9729	0.1676	0.8085	0.9185	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (169.2%)
Guanajuato	mujeres	21.6008	0.0663	24.5815	18.7079	16.9660	0.0334	20.6866	15.0382	21.30	3.21	23.62	18.04	0.9994	0.1125	1.1294	0.8210	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (165.9%)
Guanajuato	total	26.3087	0.0493	28.9655	22.7653	20.5136	0.0286	24.4636	17.7801	19.97	1.94	21.71	16.47	0.9951	0.0807	1.1188	0.8131	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (166.8%)
Guerrero	hombres	6.3498	0.0787	7.4761	7.6453	5.0701	0.0407	5.9966	6.0867	46.28	8.21	35.94	36.49	0.8988	0.2394	0.9959	1.0109	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (151.1%)
Guerrero	mujeres	14.8256	0.1453	25.0787	22.8196	12.3964	0.0496	21.7256	18.3059	38.24	5.07	46.71	37.46	0.7936	0.1106	1.3654	1.1505	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (142.3%)
Guerrero	total	19.6069	0.1965	34.5038	27.2756	16.2665	0.0579	30.3316	21.5784	37.81	4.22	49.70	32.62	0.8174	0.0997	1.4711	1.0465	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (144.6%)
Hidalgo	hombres	3.6790	0.0698	6.6292	7.4308	2.9353	0.0385	4.8055	5.6338	32.86	9.30	36.32	44.54	0.6243	0.2583	1.0448	1.2248	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (80.2%)
Hidalgo	mujeres	13.6095	0.2664	16.1123	14.3417	11.2283	0.1582	12.9736	11.5377	25.57	9.46	25.34	22.58	0.8751	0.3616	0.9595	0.8533	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (75.9%)
Hidalgo	total	15.3638	0.1030	16.9144	17.0165	12.5675	0.0607	13.1265	13.1332	23.68	2.80	19.85	19.95	0.7817	0.1140	0.7976	0.7980	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (76.1%)
Jalisco	hombres	15.9456	0.1286	21.7892	20.1291	12.2961	0.0627	16.3979	15.8941	21.92	6.94	24.64	23.88	0.8031	0.3358	1.0516	1.0193	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (110.1%)
Jalisco	mujeres	30.1860	0.1735	38.7369	38.2744	22.9415	0.0985	31.8603	32.5786	17.30	6.15	23.47	23.88	0.7011	0.2571	0.9963	1.0188	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (88.5%)
Jalisco	total	41.6940	0.1761	58.2206	54.5327	31.4370	0.0950	48.0753	46.4074	16.72	3.96	24.18	23.10	0.7161	0.1840	1.1154	1.0767	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (95.8%)
Mexico	hombres	N/A	0.1161	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0609	N/A	N/A	N/A	18.62	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.6137	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (67.8%)
Mexico	mujeres	N/A	0.0145	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0096	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.32	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0388	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (56.8%)
Mexico	total	N/A	0.0411	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0291	N/A	N/A	N/A	2.52	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0882	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (60.7%)
Michoacan	hombres	N/A	0.0274	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0185	N/A	N/A	N/A	3.01	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1057	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (107.2%)
Michoacan	mujeres	N/A	0.1152	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0417	N/A	N/A	N/A	2.98	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1134	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (90.9%)
Michoacan	total	N/A	0.0364	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0230	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.03	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0462	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (94.4%)
Michoacán	hombres	11.1223	N/A	9.6732	19.6833	8.8318	N/A	7.7283	17.6739	33.53	N/A	22.61	42.72	1.1849	N/A	0.9251	2.1155	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (23.6%)
Michoacán	mujeres	24.7844	N/A	22.7898	40.1599	18.3808	N/A	18.8825	37.0262	25.82	N/A	19.45	33.77	1.1828	N/A	1.0752	2.1084	Ensemble	OK (1.2x)	OK (16.6%)
Michoacán	total	33.5333	N/A	26.8956	65.4540	25.8169	N/A	21.6994	60.8730	26.23	N/A	16.83	38.98	1.2392	N/A	0.9158	2.5692	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (16.7%)
Morelos	hombres	5.7690	0.0559	4.1310	4.5605	4.2608	0.0195	3.4543	3.7538	33.50	2.94	24.50	26.65	0.6533	0.0594	0.5336	0.5799	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (72.0%)
Morelos	mujeres	13.2741	0.0456	10.0601	9.7978	10.2834	0.0319	8.4550	8.1403	23.34	1.56	18.33	17.50	0.5833	0.0379	0.5062	0.4874	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (37.4%)
Morelos	total	16.7710	0.0564	12.1434	12.0760	12.9133	0.0471	10.0359	9.7942	22.64	1.40	16.42	16.01	0.5727	0.0435	0.4683	0.4571	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (40.8%)
México	hombres	24.8886	N/A	24.8787	24.3178	20.9548	N/A	14.8458	14.4059	34.97	N/A	29.71	27.68	1.3723	N/A	0.8801	0.8540	Stacking	OK (0.8x)	OK (32.7%)
México	mujeres	61.7786	N/A	31.0172	35.0411	53.4002	N/A	23.6839	28.5029	31.46	N/A	16.05	19.26	1.4088	N/A	0.5630	0.6775	Ensemble	OK (0.3x)	OK (46.8%)
México	total	85.3784	N/A	42.2705	60.9736	73.9472	N/A	32.2764	51.7860	32.21	N/A	16.11	27.59	1.4677	N/A	0.5745	0.9217	Ensemble	OK (0.3x)	OK (46.4%)
Nayarit	hombres	8.3439	0.3853	13.6738	10.6850	6.7121	0.2167	11.1849	8.4437	35.84	9.53	43.01	30.74	0.9472	0.3734	1.5561	1.1747	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (125.3%)
Nayarit	mujeres	21.5313	0.5045	23.8115	22.4696	18.3300	0.2796	19.7945	18.3911	38.56	5.74	41.48	38.24	0.9640	0.1859	1.0653	0.9898	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (89.6%)
Nayarit	total	29.7280	0.5047	33.8607	32.7200	25.1587	0.3250	28.7944	27.6221	37.01	4.65	38.88	37.46	1.0326	0.1689	1.2105	1.1612	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (100.2%)
Nuevo Leon	hombres	N/A	0.0671	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0418	N/A	N/A	N/A	12.16	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3040	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (90.4%)
Nuevo Leon	mujeres	N/A	0.1991	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0971	N/A	N/A	N/A	7.38	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3071	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (64.6%)
Nuevo Leon	total	N/A	0.2346	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1311	N/A	N/A	N/A	7.91	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3157	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (73.6%)
Nuevo León	hombres	8.3174	N/A	10.2150	10.3546	6.3839	N/A	8.3410	8.4454	24.85	N/A	29.90	30.22	0.8594	N/A	1.0492	1.0623	Prophet	OK (1.2x)	OK (20.7%)
Nuevo León	mujeres	20.7837	N/A	22.2762	22.7150	15.8247	N/A	18.2240	18.8515	22.74	N/A	23.00	23.67	0.9441	N/A	0.9966	1.0310	Prophet	Moderado (1.8x)	OK (12.7%)
Nuevo León	total	25.1675	N/A	32.5226	31.2383	18.6992	N/A	26.8892	25.7194	19.62	N/A	25.07	24.07	0.8443	N/A	1.1189	1.0702	Prophet	Moderado (1.6x)	OK (12.3%)
Oaxaca	hombres	5.3717	0.1589	12.2031	10.6417	4.1758	0.0964	9.1173	8.3601	39.37	24.43	55.32	49.53	0.9093	0.8331	1.9022	1.7442	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (102.6%)
Oaxaca	mujeres	11.3938	0.1189	13.9710	11.4840	9.2265	0.0666	11.2190	9.0954	36.12	11.07	39.37	30.97	0.8474	0.2439	0.9926	0.8047	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (52.5%)
Oaxaca	total	13.8306	0.1354	20.6430	18.6177	11.2869	0.0587	16.3788	14.7189	31.73	7.32	36.42	32.38	0.7872	0.1663	1.1211	1.0075	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (69.0%)
Puebla	hombres	12.5476	0.1180	15.1627	15.6398	9.6043	0.0729	11.8182	12.6100	40.30	22.60	52.30	54.65	0.9792	0.4407	1.0852	1.1579	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (117.1%)
Puebla	mujeres	28.9212	0.3406	37.8447	40.1186	21.0967	0.2073	30.6593	34.5667	35.88	26.45	51.93	56.74	1.0139	0.5944	1.3338	1.5038	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (89.9%)
Puebla	total	38.0762	0.3674	53.6393	55.4012	28.1737	0.2010	44.8368	48.0291	33.87	16.28	53.21	56.05	0.9782	0.4194	1.4200	1.5211	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (100.4%)
Queretaro	hombres	N/A	0.0512	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0259	N/A	N/A	N/A	14.49	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2381	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (99.5%)
Queretaro	mujeres	N/A	0.2193	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0924	N/A	N/A	N/A	11.90	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3303	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (102.2%)
Queretaro	total	N/A	0.2191	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1030	N/A	N/A	N/A	9.75	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3011	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (94.7%)
Querétaro	hombres	2.5030	N/A	3.5879	3.4684	2.0144	N/A	2.5782	2.6630	48.30	N/A	46.30	46.11	0.7974	N/A	1.0006	1.0335	Stacking	OK (0.9x)	OK (52.6%)
Querétaro	mujeres	8.1603	N/A	9.1859	9.3420	5.5666	N/A	6.5142	7.6129	34.82	N/A	33.97	38.35	0.8845	N/A	0.9834	1.1492	Ensemble	OK (0.7x)	OK (47.5%)
Querétaro	total	9.2095	N/A	11.7927	11.9570	6.5419	N/A	8.2633	9.7123	31.73	N/A	32.53	36.57	0.8501	N/A	1.0200	1.1988	Prophet	Moderado (1.4x)	OK (22.6%)
Quintana Roo	hombres	4.1514	0.1184	4.2271	4.9498	3.1972	0.0633	3.1260	4.3615	41.85	16.93	42.25	54.36	0.8851	0.3080	0.8187	1.1423	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (130.7%)
Quintana Roo	mujeres	7.5690	0.1213	7.7536	7.4562	6.1850	0.0568	5.6856	5.8208	28.35	6.47	27.93	27.67	0.6940	0.1224	0.6588	0.6745	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (118.3%)
Quintana Roo	total	10.4288	0.1579	10.9653	10.6193	8.3810	0.1011	7.8738	8.5248	27.84	7.41	28.52	29.24	0.7571	0.1709	0.7163	0.7755	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (119.2%)
San Luis Potosi	hombres	N/A	0.0411	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0226	N/A	N/A	N/A	5.11	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0952	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (60.1%)
San Luis Potosi	mujeres	N/A	0.0808	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0360	N/A	N/A	N/A	3.24	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0765	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (44.4%)
San Luis Potosi	total	N/A	0.0942	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0564	N/A	N/A	N/A	3.27	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0917	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (44.2%)
San Luis Potosí	hombres	6.1035	N/A	5.9385	6.5002	4.6428	N/A	4.4557	5.2683	35.17	N/A	30.29	34.83	0.6833	N/A	0.6661	0.7875	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (37.6%)
San Luis Potosí	mujeres	12.8180	N/A	12.4660	15.0107	10.0810	N/A	10.1026	12.5228	25.45	N/A	23.67	27.66	0.7382	N/A	0.7587	0.9404	Ensemble	OK (1.1x)	OK (21.4%)
San Luis Potosí	total	16.6663	N/A	16.3693	20.7302	13.5717	N/A	12.9216	17.5257	25.43	N/A	22.37	28.55	0.7599	N/A	0.7424	1.0070	Ensemble	OK (1.1x)	OK (21.3%)
Sinaloa	hombres	7.3128	0.0712	6.1513	11.2497	6.0102	0.0241	4.9263	10.2517	29.71	4.22	19.86	35.99	0.7868	0.0952	0.6421	1.3362	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (95.6%)
Sinaloa	mujeres	15.2016	0.2018	12.9580	19.2283	12.3008	0.0827	9.1646	16.1884	21.37	4.78	14.41	23.33	0.6652	0.1422	0.5204	0.9193	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (58.7%)
Sinaloa	total	20.8576	0.2784	17.4677	28.6077	17.1916	0.1100	13.2940	25.1157	21.91	4.16	14.93	25.67	0.7315	0.1469	0.5863	1.1076	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (64.1%)
Sonora	hombres	6.8795	0.0559	5.2637	7.5594	5.3868	0.0255	4.4864	6.6419	34.44	5.80	30.07	40.28	0.9745	0.1287	0.7653	1.1330	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (65.9%)
Sonora	mujeres	16.5174	0.2209	16.2695	10.4054	13.3032	0.1252	13.4687	7.7803	28.88	8.68	33.44	17.65	0.9775	0.2632	0.9617	0.5555	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (51.0%)
Sonora	total	21.7078	0.2712	15.0665	12.3625	17.7613	0.1225	10.9783	9.4099	29.17	6.55	19.51	16.07	1.0406	0.2034	0.6188	0.5304	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (49.4%)
Tabasco	hombres	11.0625	0.0312	12.0591	9.5194	8.4140	0.0151	9.9398	7.9903	40.31	1.84	38.51	32.72	1.3068	0.0437	1.1955	0.9610	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (142.2%)
Tabasco	mujeres	20.9700	0.0964	13.6240	15.2275	16.4198	0.0575	11.2009	12.5426	32.89	3.54	22.42	24.55	1.1561	0.0795	0.6443	0.7215	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (99.5%)
Tabasco	total	28.0228	0.2982	19.9679	17.8688	22.5123	0.1731	16.2853	14.4922	32.02	5.79	21.52	19.34	1.1747	0.1757	0.6878	0.6121	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (111.5%)
Tamaulipas	hombres	8.1605	0.0299	8.6946	6.3751	6.1772	0.0154	7.5524	5.2662	30.87	3.52	43.47	33.65	0.6081	0.0562	0.7822	0.5454	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (46.8%)
Tamaulipas	mujeres	15.5601	0.1422	11.0783	13.0846	11.7777	0.0761	8.1861	10.7225	21.66	6.51	17.89	22.34	0.6405	0.1521	0.4624	0.6056	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (31.9%)
Tamaulipas	total	21.1564	0.1358	16.6262	17.8026	16.1910	0.0599	12.8392	14.4126	21.74	4.49	20.52	22.45	0.6336	0.0868	0.5263	0.5908	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (33.5%)
Tlaxcala	hombres	2.9383	0.0359	3.0017	2.8072	2.3922	0.0161	2.3743	2.2755	47.38	15.39	53.55	53.88	1.0937	0.0909	0.9971	0.9556	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (147.2%)
Tlaxcala	mujeres	6.7800	0.1333	5.6342	9.6345	5.2323	0.0754	4.4468	8.6051	30.40	6.36	24.82	42.04	1.0818	0.1882	0.8261	1.5985	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (146.6%)
Tlaxcala	total	7.9820	0.2846	7.6579	11.3515	6.2958	0.1813	6.3608	9.9463	28.12	11.47	27.59	39.24	1.0495	0.3680	0.9616	1.5036	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (145.8%)
Veracruz	hombres	9.2054	0.0058	7.9110	8.6328	7.2161	0.0043	6.3051	7.1185	23.65	1.47	22.30	25.25	0.7426	0.0362	0.6672	0.7533	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (82.1%)
Veracruz	mujeres	24.2194	0.0402	21.0900	26.2744	19.9291	0.0236	16.5685	21.6625	21.97	2.91	18.13	23.54	0.7264	0.0730	0.6359	0.8314	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (69.8%)
Veracruz	total	32.7004	0.0520	26.2185	30.8668	26.8777	0.0315	21.0923	25.1022	21.82	2.32	17.40	20.68	0.7734	0.0769	0.6395	0.7611	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (70.0%)
Yucatan	hombres	N/A	0.0575	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0374	N/A	N/A	N/A	4.08	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1632	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (138.2%)
Yucatan	mujeres	N/A	0.1645	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0862	N/A	N/A	N/A	3.72	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1600	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (119.2%)
Yucatan	total	N/A	0.3501	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1761	N/A	N/A	N/A	5.58	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2498	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (124.2%)
Yucatán	hombres	6.8154	N/A	7.6523	7.0765	5.3004	N/A	6.1786	5.3059	39.55	N/A	27.65	23.57	1.1063	N/A	1.1627	0.9984	Stacking	OK (0.5x)	OK (43.4%)
Yucatán	mujeres	15.3052	N/A	27.4205	15.1405	12.3412	N/A	24.4299	12.5007	30.14	N/A	39.29	19.04	1.0349	N/A	1.9547	1.0002	Stacking	OK (0.3x)	OK (65.1%)
Yucatán	total	20.7066	N/A	30.5930	18.1595	16.6769	N/A	26.9456	14.8268	30.90	N/A	31.39	16.85	1.0949	N/A	1.6478	0.9067	Stacking	OK (0.3x)	OK (52.2%)
Zacatecas	hombres	4.3678	0.1130	6.0943	5.9631	3.6428	0.0699	4.3312	4.5248	38.44	10.03	35.86	36.75	1.0044	0.2976	1.1361	1.1869	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (93.2%)
Zacatecas	mujeres	10.6761	0.2589	11.6318	15.7780	8.7414	0.0882	9.4267	12.6594	27.70	4.44	24.38	30.52	1.0607	0.1626	1.0697	1.4366	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (94.5%)
Zacatecas	total	13.6686	0.3567	15.9126	20.7167	11.1967	0.1352	12.3415	16.7353	27.05	4.62	24.25	30.64	1.0967	0.2003	1.1251	1.5256	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (92.6%)
general	total	N/A	0.2490	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2079	N/A	N/A	N/A	9.35	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.6157	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (67.8%)
hombres	total	N/A	0.1169	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0944	N/A	N/A	N/A	16.38	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.0325	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (76.1%)
mujeres	total	N/A	0.2702	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2381	N/A	N/A	N/A	15.14	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.9503	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (58.7%)
region Metropolitana alta	hombres	N/A	0.1147	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0851	N/A	N/A	N/A	12.46	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.7440	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (86.7%)
region Metropolitana alta	mujeres	N/A	0.3050	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2392	N/A	N/A	N/A	13.55	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.7665	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (75.5%)
region Metropolitana alta	total	N/A	0.2739	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2280	N/A	N/A	N/A	9.61	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5555	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (67.8%)
region Rural / dispersa	hombres	N/A	0.0588	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0477	N/A	N/A	N/A	9.17	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5237	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (105.6%)
region Rural / dispersa	mujeres	N/A	0.1300	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1042	N/A	N/A	N/A	6.97	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4170	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (89.7%)
region Rural / dispersa	total	N/A	0.1942	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1486	N/A	N/A	N/A	7.30	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4539	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (91.5%)
region Sur-Sureste vulnerable	hombres	N/A	0.0909	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0712	N/A	N/A	N/A	12.96	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.7529	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (119.4%)
region Sur-Sureste vulnerable	mujeres	N/A	0.1709	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1215	N/A	N/A	N/A	9.11	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4961	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (93.8%)
region Sur-Sureste vulnerable	total	N/A	0.2642	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2185	N/A	N/A	N/A	11.47	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.6903	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (96.1%)
region Urbana media	hombres	N/A	0.0810	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0632	N/A	N/A	N/A	9.66	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5275	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (78.8%)
region Urbana media	mujeres	N/A	0.1350	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1014	N/A	N/A	N/A	5.84	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3215	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (61.4%)
region Urbana media	total	N/A	0.2178	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1663	N/A	N/A	N/A	6.85	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3908	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (69.6%)
region_Metropolitana alta	hombres	52.7675	N/A	80.7516	71.8626	44.4643	N/A	68.4912	60.3958	17.56	N/A	27.02	23.59	1.0107	N/A	1.4842	1.3088	Prophet	Moderado (1.9x)	OK (9.4%)
region_Metropolitana alta	mujeres	132.8736	N/A	124.8740	126.3585	112.9738	N/A	102.0230	101.8749	16.86	N/A	14.67	14.44	0.9088	N/A	0.8104	0.8092	Stacking	OK (0.6x)	OK (23.5%)
region_Metropolitana alta	total	175.9755	N/A	209.6871	228.3187	152.6425	N/A	174.5924	198.8178	16.71	N/A	18.44	21.66	0.9427	N/A	1.0544	1.2007	Prophet	Alto (2.6x)	OK (6.5%)
region_Rural / dispersa	hombres	32.2231	N/A	27.4721	27.5399	26.9864	N/A	17.3058	16.7450	21.61	N/A	11.35	11.05	1.0796	N/A	0.6637	0.6421	Stacking	OK (0.5x)	OK (21.1%)
region_Rural / dispersa	mujeres	85.9745	N/A	64.2549	67.2364	74.1585	N/A	43.6312	43.2946	20.56	N/A	10.30	10.49	1.0528	N/A	0.6097	0.6050	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (10.5%)
region_Rural / dispersa	total	118.4614	N/A	90.1292	100.3896	103.1072	N/A	58.8760	62.9215	20.92	N/A	10.28	11.39	1.1199	N/A	0.6285	0.6717	Ensemble	OK (1.0x)	OK (10.3%)
region_Sur-Sureste vulnerable	hombres	20.6226	N/A	26.9707	18.9395	17.2841	N/A	21.5626	14.9329	24.75	N/A	22.83	15.35	1.1979	N/A	1.3250	0.9176	Stacking	OK (0.4x)	OK (36.6%)
region_Sur-Sureste vulnerable	mujeres	41.9293	N/A	50.1881	34.4883	33.5963	N/A	42.8484	26.6241	18.06	N/A	17.98	11.29	0.8648	N/A	1.0129	0.6294	Stacking	OK (0.7x)	OK (16.5%)
region_Sur-Sureste vulnerable	total	57.2310	N/A	74.4409	46.9243	46.0508	N/A	64.2024	36.2631	18.02	N/A	19.50	11.00	0.9274	N/A	1.1751	0.6637	Stacking	OK (0.7x)	OK (15.3%)
region_Urbana media	hombres	40.9890	N/A	48.4272	62.6328	34.2607	N/A	31.7504	44.1421	14.10	N/A	11.77	16.99	0.6854	N/A	0.6619	0.9202	Ensemble	OK (0.5x)	OK (24.4%)
region_Urbana media	mujeres	110.5991	N/A	117.8444	103.7400	91.7586	N/A	84.5388	66.4420	13.46	N/A	11.95	9.06	0.7121	N/A	0.6692	0.5259	Stacking	OK (0.4x)	OK (22.3%)
region_Urbana media	total	145.6816	N/A	224.2418	186.4522	122.4496	N/A	189.3879	129.3473	13.25	N/A	19.90	13.29	0.6995	N/A	1.1110	0.7588	Prophet	Alto (2.8x)	OK (4.7%)

Parkinson

Detalle de métricas a nivel nacional y estatal

Nacional

Entidad	Sexo	RMSE P	RMSE D	RMSE E	RMSE S	MAE P	MAE D	MAE E	MAE S	SMAPE P	SMAPE D	SMAPE E	SMAPE S	MASE P	MASE D	MASE E	MASE S	Productivo	Overfitting	Leakage
Nacional	hombres	24.9758	N/A	19.0294	15.7456	21.2174	N/A	15.8015	12.5886	24.49	N/A	19.74	15.93	0.8412	N/A	0.6470	0.5154	Stacking	OK (0.7x)	OK (22.9%)
Nacional	mujeres	23.0922	N/A	20.2022	20.8584	19.4538	N/A	14.3375	13.9956	26.61	N/A	19.53	19.02	0.8062	N/A	0.6088	0.5943	Stacking	OK (0.7x)	OK (27.6%)
Nacional	total	44.2673	N/A	34.0531	46.6508	35.5795	N/A	24.9854	35.0269	22.39	N/A	16.19	25.48	0.7612	N/A	0.5514	0.7729	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (19.4%)

Estatal (144 series)

Entidad	Sexo	RMSE P	RMSE D	RMSE E	RMSE S	MAE P	MAE D	MAE E	MAE S	SMAPE P	SMAPE D	SMAPE E	SMAPE S	MASE P	MASE D	MASE E	MASE S	Productivo	Overfitting	Leakage
Aguascalientes	hombres	0.9286	0.0491	0.7296	0.7791	0.7524	0.0365	0.6072	0.6094	126.17	142.34	111.48	169.47	0.8468	0.5722	0.6659	0.6683	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (137.4%)
Aguascalientes	mujeres	0.7431	0.0355	0.5687	0.6814	0.6267	0.0249	0.5203	0.4286	141.47	161.53	151.53	200.00	0.8144	0.4630	0.6772	0.5579	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (140.4%)
Aguascalientes	total	1.2156	0.0349	1.0132	0.8630	0.9147	0.0217	0.8830	0.6940	82.85	68.39	86.78	89.27	0.7082	0.2370	0.6769	0.5319	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (166.3%)
Baja California	hombres	1.4807	0.0154	1.5468	1.1903	1.2345	0.0102	1.3173	0.8634	70.58	64.89	94.12	89.69	0.6207	0.2028	0.6967	0.4566	DeepAR	OK (0.6x)	OK (115.0%)
Baja California	mujeres	1.9793	0.0142	1.1016	1.2089	1.2926	0.0082	0.8800	0.9039	83.16	72.47	91.84	113.99	0.6532	0.1578	0.4504	0.4626	DeepAR	OK (0.6x)	OK (126.3%)
Baja California	total	2.5750	0.0143	1.7603	1.7225	1.9337	0.0067	1.3926	1.3162	54.52	30.07	61.30	64.72	0.6018	0.0809	0.4484	0.4238	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (97.9%)
Baja California Sur	hombres	0.8401	0.1468	1.2660	1.5811	0.6877	0.1142	1.0148	1.0714	147.64	138.88	140.07	200.00	0.9467	1.1839	1.3177	1.3913	DeepAR	OK (0.9x)	OK (155.0%)
Baja California Sur	mujeres	0.7302	0.0930	0.7682	0.8557	0.5703	0.0574	0.5369	0.4464	165.35	169.07	175.28	200.00	1.0058	0.8089	0.9468	0.7873	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (171.3%)
Baja California Sur	total	1.1114	0.1344	1.4883	1.7777	0.8724	0.0859	1.2251	1.3861	112.96	99.87	108.98	151.67	0.8223	0.6303	1.1259	1.2738	DeepAR	OK (0.7x)	OK (147.8%)
Campeche	hombres	1.1211	0.1469	1.5319	1.8486	0.8712	0.1013	0.9949	1.3235	123.09	73.74	83.10	139.36	1.0579	1.1008	1.1567	1.5387	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (150.2%)
Campeche	mujeres	0.8644	0.0949	0.8826	1.1339	0.7085	0.0741	0.7086	0.7500	129.69	128.61	129.40	200.00	0.9941	0.9730	0.9943	1.0524	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (155.0%)
Campeche	total	1.3950	0.1613	1.8749	2.0373	1.1223	0.1166	1.2989	1.4370	95.31	57.19	67.22	79.56	0.8694	0.8446	1.0044	1.1113	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (123.5%)
Chiapas	hombres	1.3849	0.0072	1.0168	1.1864	1.0397	0.0044	0.8510	0.9597	70.72	23.66	50.54	58.62	0.6388	0.1509	0.5301	0.5978	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (86.7%)
Chiapas	mujeres	1.4085	0.0132	1.3627	1.3304	1.0751	0.0071	1.0621	0.9520	90.86	55.17	82.14	79.45	0.8414	0.2973	0.8012	0.7182	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (110.9%)
Chiapas	total	2.1246	0.0059	1.6934	1.7257	1.6491	0.0027	1.3279	1.3362	57.57	5.82	41.39	41.53	0.6994	0.0640	0.5645	0.5680	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (71.4%)
Chihuahua	hombres	2.3102	0.0307	2.4315	2.4992	1.8366	0.0157	2.0343	2.1096	44.17	30.53	56.77	58.00	0.7041	0.2292	0.7937	0.8230	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (102.7%)
Chihuahua	mujeres	2.4034	0.0055	2.2123	2.1969	1.8736	0.0038	1.7760	1.7822	50.03	3.79	39.79	39.64	0.5910	0.0478	0.5875	0.5896	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (85.5%)
Chihuahua	total	4.0533	0.0311	4.1669	3.7025	3.2206	0.0189	3.5127	2.9900	37.79	9.96	39.29	35.12	0.6721	0.1542	0.7666	0.6525	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (78.5%)
Ciudad de Mexico	hombres	N/A	0.0055	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0027	N/A	N/A	N/A	26.45	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0465	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (87.9%)
Ciudad de Mexico	mujeres	N/A	0.0061	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0034	N/A	N/A	N/A	35.24	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0588	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (102.4%)
Ciudad de Mexico	total	N/A	0.0053	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0021	N/A	N/A	N/A	8.77	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0196	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (80.1%)
Ciudad de México	hombres	3.1385	N/A	2.6643	1.8576	2.5294	N/A	2.3047	1.5365	73.45	N/A	75.47	63.17	0.3953	N/A	0.4245	0.2830	Stacking	OK (0.9x)	OK (68.7%)
Ciudad de México	mujeres	3.0171	N/A	2.9236	1.6204	2.4194	N/A	2.6072	1.2914	74.27	N/A	90.16	66.14	0.3875	N/A	0.4887	0.2420	Stacking	OK (0.9x)	OK (76.2%)
Ciudad de México	total	5.0973	N/A	5.1882	2.9586	4.1854	N/A	4.5788	2.4770	59.25	N/A	74.02	51.95	0.3495	N/A	0.4564	0.2469	Stacking	OK (0.8x)	OK (62.7%)
Coahuila	hombres	1.7657	0.0472	1.9778	1.8996	1.3424	0.0230	1.6686	1.5509	64.99	70.78	91.68	97.13	0.6254	0.3420	0.7833	0.7280	Prophet	OK (0.8x)	OK (81.7%)
Coahuila	mujeres	1.8961	0.0374	1.4777	1.2741	1.4258	0.0289	1.2222	1.0328	86.64	78.24	86.40	92.38	0.6983	0.4567	0.6128	0.5179	DeepAR	OK (1.0x)	OK (76.6%)
Coahuila	total	2.8257	0.0571	2.8083	2.5387	2.1441	0.0320	2.3199	1.9621	54.36	37.26	67.64	63.21	0.5646	0.2778	0.6377	0.5393	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (78.2%)
Colima	hombres	1.7090	0.0442	2.1886	1.6910	1.3647	0.0244	1.8915	1.3840	43.12	23.48	73.35	62.35	0.8839	0.1120	1.1825	0.8652	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (107.5%)
Colima	mujeres	1.6140	0.0331	1.3964	1.5307	1.3018	0.0185	1.0956	1.1169	58.24	20.57	55.57	60.34	0.9096	0.0920	0.7437	0.7581	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (113.1%)
Colima	total	2.6057	0.1099	2.7798	2.4866	2.1299	0.0411	2.3231	1.8951	37.88	10.70	50.46	43.74	0.9198	0.1269	0.9779	0.7978	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (82.2%)
Durango	hombres	2.4558	0.0230	2.6825	3.3056	1.8545	0.0105	2.1917	2.6966	61.52	33.46	78.42	83.91	0.9050	0.0904	1.0307	1.2682	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (148.0%)
Durango	mujeres	2.2724	0.0621	2.2072	2.7766	1.6435	0.0387	1.7739	2.2774	67.01	59.76	81.07	82.99	0.8248	0.3560	0.8912	1.1442	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (154.7%)
Durango	total	4.1257	0.0488	4.1261	6.2584	2.9928	0.0239	3.3323	5.1482	51.03	19.92	69.30	79.48	0.8311	0.1190	0.9064	1.4004	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (139.4%)
Guanajuato	hombres	1.6211	0.0222	2.1178	2.1553	1.3117	0.0124	1.4259	1.4386	79.82	42.69	64.82	66.59	0.8754	0.4986	0.9315	0.9398	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (163.5%)
Guanajuato	mujeres	1.3827	0.0309	2.0240	2.1795	1.0842	0.0222	1.4388	1.5440	87.14	55.73	63.10	69.73	0.8197	1.0149	1.0668	1.1448	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (160.8%)
Guanajuato	total	2.2910	0.0060	3.1449	2.9568	1.8772	0.0030	2.2090	2.0274	61.66	3.79	46.21	41.50	0.7929	0.0779	0.9203	0.8446	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (154.9%)
Guerrero	hombres	1.2731	0.0295	1.2109	1.2972	0.9678	0.0170	0.9551	1.0142	99.47	61.49	74.07	85.45	0.7517	0.4673	0.7376	0.7832	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (115.9%)
Guerrero	mujeres	1.4601	0.0391	1.6660	1.8261	1.0964	0.0241	1.0898	1.2270	117.93	99.22	94.16	123.35	0.7796	0.6136	0.7761	0.8738	Ensemble	OK (0.7x)	OK (141.4%)
Guerrero	total	2.2717	0.0169	1.9016	2.0569	1.7503	0.0085	1.5449	1.5669	78.77	18.14	55.44	60.11	0.8202	0.1404	0.7156	0.7258	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (97.3%)
Hidalgo	hombres	1.1092	0.0266	1.0934	1.2515	0.8419	0.0163	0.8510	0.8963	110.88	105.32	120.60	166.86	0.6073	0.3812	0.6429	0.6771	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (126.2%)
Hidalgo	mujeres	1.2098	0.0322	1.1333	1.3887	0.8155	0.0238	0.8942	0.8571	138.55	131.09	119.20	200.00	0.6969	0.6504	0.7898	0.7571	Ensemble	OK (0.7x)	OK (164.9%)
Hidalgo	total	1.8542	0.0379	1.6660	1.7308	1.2808	0.0268	1.3296	1.2823	84.58	72.20	86.79	90.81	0.6427	0.4315	0.6913	0.6667	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (86.4%)
Jalisco	hombres	4.8373	0.0156	4.2637	4.2299	3.6400	0.0086	3.4358	3.1650	41.54	8.65	40.09	37.99	0.8248	0.1579	0.7552	0.6956	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (108.5%)
Jalisco	mujeres	5.1969	0.0142	3.6602	4.1645	4.0350	0.0069	2.9482	3.2020	51.74	6.54	36.37	40.71	0.9686	0.1284	0.6599	0.7167	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (113.7%)
Jalisco	total	8.9056	0.0267	6.8407	6.9400	6.9118	0.0110	5.3468	5.2764	40.07	5.85	31.92	32.69	0.9542	0.1198	0.6986	0.6894	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (112.2%)
Mexico	hombres	N/A	0.0038	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0019	N/A	N/A	N/A	11.10	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0832	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (60.3%)
Mexico	mujeres	N/A	0.0022	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0011	N/A	N/A	N/A	6.36	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0566	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (60.6%)
Mexico	total	N/A	0.0036	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0023	N/A	N/A	N/A	5.86	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0657	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (45.2%)
Michoacan	hombres	N/A	0.0222	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0119	N/A	N/A	N/A	23.38	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2742	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (97.3%)
Michoacan	mujeres	N/A	0.0161	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0082	N/A	N/A	N/A	18.93	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2062	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (98.6%)
Michoacan	total	N/A	0.0157	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0097	N/A	N/A	N/A	8.94	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1434	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (75.3%)
Michoacán	hombres	2.2297	N/A	2.6034	2.5769	1.7598	N/A	1.9292	2.1082	64.33	N/A	63.57	66.37	0.8814	N/A	0.9342	1.0208	Ensemble	OK (0.5x)	OK (118.7%)
Michoacán	mujeres	2.0907	N/A	2.2808	2.5906	1.7004	N/A	1.7189	2.1510	68.68	N/A	67.08	67.62	0.9005	N/A	0.9063	1.1342	Ensemble	OK (0.5x)	OK (129.9%)
Michoacán	total	3.4355	N/A	4.2121	5.0820	2.7685	N/A	3.1979	4.5172	49.56	N/A	53.31	64.16	0.8893	N/A	0.9984	1.4103	Prophet	OK (1.2x)	OK (40.4%)
Morelos	hombres	2.0028	0.0193	2.1100	2.0178	1.6270	0.0116	1.8404	1.7126	60.78	27.10	66.04	65.26	0.7515	0.1058	0.8502	0.7911	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (108.7%)
Morelos	mujeres	2.1749	0.0744	2.4601	2.4009	1.6491	0.0349	1.8101	1.7208	78.84	35.52	68.23	67.61	0.6060	0.2684	0.7051	0.6703	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (128.2%)
Morelos	total	3.4059	0.0818	3.8324	3.7721	2.8074	0.0358	3.1542	3.0219	52.07	15.16	57.13	56.90	0.6636	0.1754	0.7833	0.7504	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (98.5%)
México	hombres	5.2709	N/A	2.5547	2.6528	4.2655	N/A	2.0856	2.0662	66.37	N/A	53.58	57.37	1.1985	N/A	0.5345	0.5295	Ensemble	OK (0.6x)	OK (87.3%)
México	mujeres	4.7441	N/A	2.7375	2.5867	3.7226	N/A	2.1694	1.9978	67.27	N/A	58.64	51.21	1.3310	N/A	0.6818	0.6278	Stacking	OK (0.9x)	OK (55.4%)
México	total	9.3228	N/A	3.5121	3.8401	7.6356	N/A	2.7946	2.9884	60.77	N/A	34.63	37.71	1.4583	N/A	0.4682	0.5006	Ensemble	OK (0.5x)	OK (65.7%)
Nayarit	hombres	1.0917	0.0410	0.8531	0.8733	0.8606	0.0224	0.7472	0.5999	123.82	145.79	154.65	179.81	0.7316	0.2334	0.6291	0.5051	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (110.4%)
Nayarit	mujeres	0.9467	0.0465	0.7364	0.7388	0.7860	0.0207	0.6210	0.3534	142.08	186.62	170.69	199.26	0.7434	0.2444	0.5926	0.3373	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (126.0%)
Nayarit	total	1.6857	0.0551	1.3441	1.2619	1.3272	0.0297	1.1295	0.9451	99.37	118.20	125.57	130.81	0.7384	0.2021	0.6213	0.5199	Prophet	OK (1.2x)	OK (84.9%)
Nuevo Leon	hombres	N/A	0.0106	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0061	N/A	N/A	N/A	27.33	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1573	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (64.2%)
Nuevo Leon	mujeres	N/A	0.0227	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0163	N/A	N/A	N/A	64.83	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4366	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (79.7%)
Nuevo Leon	total	N/A	0.0173	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0077	N/A	N/A	N/A	20.52	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1260	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (60.5%)
Nuevo León	hombres	1.8711	N/A	1.7826	1.7129	1.4342	N/A	1.4587	1.3442	59.12	N/A	55.91	53.73	0.6258	N/A	0.6426	0.5921	Stacking	OK (1.0x)	OK (54.4%)
Nuevo León	mujeres	1.5972	N/A	1.9472	2.1428	1.2128	N/A	1.5359	1.5230	70.93	N/A	76.01	95.41	0.5346	N/A	0.7127	0.7067	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (67.2%)
Nuevo León	total	2.6854	N/A	2.8414	2.6908	2.0343	N/A	2.1442	2.0565	44.91	N/A	48.10	46.23	0.5488	N/A	0.6024	0.5778	Prophet	OK (1.2x)	OK (38.1%)
Oaxaca	hombres	1.5176	0.0096	1.6164	1.5432	1.2517	0.0041	1.1896	1.1199	84.88	47.89	79.26	94.07	0.6906	0.0938	0.6578	0.6192	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (101.7%)
Oaxaca	mujeres	1.3629	0.0168	1.2347	1.5511	1.0409	0.0075	0.9972	1.2428	94.67	46.82	82.29	114.18	0.6257	0.1922	0.6219	0.7751	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (112.2%)
Oaxaca	total	2.3631	0.0075	2.0773	2.3832	1.8596	0.0042	1.5458	1.7799	67.43	12.63	53.71	65.38	0.6653	0.0629	0.5600	0.6448	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (79.0%)
Puebla	hombres	7.1228	0.0934	6.4513	6.8562	4.7665	0.0352	4.3440	5.4279	110.51	57.70	94.94	106.30	1.0941	0.5122	0.9600	1.1996	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (113.9%)
Puebla	mujeres	6.4061	0.1653	12.7627	12.5183	4.5567	0.0679	6.8757	7.7402	117.08	71.24	111.42	116.38	1.0034	0.9753	1.4961	1.6842	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (134.3%)
Puebla	total	13.2481	0.2352	16.6219	17.0045	8.6892	0.1070	10.9665	13.6849	104.30	52.68	99.80	112.46	1.0577	0.8309	1.2937	1.6144	DeepAR	OK (0.6x)	OK (90.4%)
Queretaro	hombres	N/A	0.0256	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0206	N/A	N/A	N/A	152.76	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.6122	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.8x)	OK (192.1%)
Queretaro	mujeres	N/A	0.0348	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0196	N/A	N/A	N/A	182.51	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.7607	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.9x)	OK (198.2%)
Queretaro	total	N/A	0.0325	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0198	N/A	N/A	N/A	103.26	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4181	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (191.3%)
Querétaro	hombres	0.7444	N/A	0.6104	0.7559	0.6527	N/A	0.5304	0.4643	147.12	N/A	142.55	200.00	0.7860	N/A	0.6639	0.5812	Ensemble	OK (0.9x)	OK (155.6%)
Querétaro	mujeres	0.7085	N/A	0.7323	0.8452	0.5405	N/A	0.5726	0.4643	160.68	N/A	165.34	200.00	0.8844	N/A	0.9369	0.7597	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (166.9%)
Querétaro	total	0.9717	N/A	1.0576	1.2934	0.7646	N/A	0.8852	0.9066	111.40	N/A	109.31	177.30	0.6309	N/A	0.7885	0.8076	Ensemble	OK (0.6x)	OK (185.1%)
Quintana Roo	hombres	0.9386	0.0692	1.3462	1.5785	0.7070	0.0472	0.9656	1.0592	135.07	174.82	127.49	177.81	0.8827	1.0532	1.1587	1.2710	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (158.8%)
Quintana Roo	mujeres	1.0145	0.0786	1.5512	1.8644	0.7650	0.0559	1.1165	1.2541	149.41	139.45	118.29	183.37	0.8850	1.1784	1.2670	1.4231	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (144.9%)
Quintana Roo	total	1.4592	0.0703	2.2576	2.4043	1.0335	0.0471	1.5918	1.5982	89.07	58.36	78.19	80.24	0.7559	0.6218	1.1305	1.1351	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (128.6%)
San Luis Potosi	hombres	N/A	0.0144	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0062	N/A	N/A	N/A	68.57	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1139	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (172.3%)
San Luis Potosi	mujeres	N/A	0.0119	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0046	N/A	N/A	N/A	98.10	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0771	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.6x)	OK (168.0%)
San Luis Potosi	total	N/A	0.0292	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0157	N/A	N/A	N/A	38.08	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1650	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (129.8%)
San Luis Potosí	hombres	1.5347	N/A	1.4451	1.3516	1.1809	N/A	1.2559	1.1137	84.64	N/A	97.28	93.92	0.7612	N/A	0.8184	0.7258	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (82.7%)
San Luis Potosí	mujeres	1.4352	N/A	1.5170	0.9301	1.1401	N/A	1.2939	0.7749	96.19	N/A	114.55	122.18	0.6573	N/A	0.7666	0.4591	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (89.7%)
San Luis Potosí	total	2.3940	N/A	1.9193	1.8754	1.8569	N/A	1.6951	1.6063	65.40	N/A	78.33	76.59	0.6772	N/A	0.6293	0.5964	Prophet	OK (1.1x)	OK (57.0%)
Sinaloa	hombres	2.2276	0.0095	2.7626	2.8306	1.7760	0.0054	1.9460	2.0625	41.92	7.20	37.89	40.83	0.5689	0.0554	0.6592	0.6987	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (68.6%)
Sinaloa	mujeres	2.6355	0.0204	2.4521	2.4562	2.0819	0.0097	1.9266	1.9384	51.10	9.30	43.59	44.64	0.6351	0.0928	0.6099	0.6136	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (61.4%)
Sinaloa	total	3.8849	0.0117	3.9787	3.9868	3.0927	0.0069	3.1197	3.1422	35.64	2.76	32.50	32.80	0.5630	0.0405	0.6067	0.6111	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (55.1%)
Sonora	hombres	1.5428	0.0386	2.3806	2.2725	1.2466	0.0164	1.7483	1.4641	77.72	50.59	97.79	87.68	0.6722	0.2631	0.9516	0.7969	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (135.4%)
Sonora	mujeres	1.2736	0.0300	1.5455	1.5388	0.9900	0.0173	1.2817	1.1403	98.57	88.66	94.64	116.32	0.5764	0.3164	0.7946	0.7069	DeepAR	OK (0.6x)	OK (138.7%)
Sonora	total	1.9886	0.0645	3.1612	3.1844	1.5676	0.0269	2.2395	2.2067	55.69	32.72	72.93	72.00	0.5389	0.2883	0.8146	0.8027	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (124.7%)
Tabasco	hombres	1.8621	0.0271	1.2546	1.2608	1.3978	0.0158	1.0560	1.0633	83.95	66.50	85.22	83.83	1.0355	0.2550	0.7112	0.7162	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (136.3%)
Tabasco	mujeres	1.5004	0.0447	1.2922	1.2803	1.2523	0.0352	1.0429	1.0166	98.76	93.02	85.34	96.68	1.1778	0.7104	0.8767	0.8545	Ensemble	OK (0.7x)	OK (124.7%)
Tabasco	total	2.9218	0.0051	1.8686	2.0573	2.2309	0.0036	1.4381	1.6511	69.52	25.60	60.33	62.79	1.1604	0.0402	0.6727	0.7723	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (122.8%)
Tamaulipas	hombres	2.4570	0.0234	2.5060	2.9905	1.9210	0.0061	2.1345	2.7026	57.70	5.87	53.92	62.03	0.8346	0.0930	0.9170	1.1611	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (73.5%)
Tamaulipas	mujeres	3.6788	0.0324	2.2748	2.2292	1.8705	0.0159	1.8192	1.7175	61.11	25.86	53.95	53.47	0.9065	0.2464	0.7967	0.7521	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (72.1%)
Tamaulipas	total	4.9631	0.0547	4.0381	4.3700	2.9364	0.0252	3.1869	3.6910	42.74	14.54	42.05	46.79	0.8472	0.2459	0.8825	1.0221	DeepAR	OK (0.3x)	OK (53.2%)
Tlaxcala	hombres	0.7914	0.0434	0.7307	0.5825	0.6691	0.0206	0.6051	0.2321	139.23	192.97	170.66	200.00	0.7610	0.3262	0.7146	0.2742	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (143.3%)
Tlaxcala	mujeres	0.9995	0.0505	0.8329	0.7943	0.7426	0.0247	0.7289	0.3636	148.06	163.66	159.82	198.79	0.9184	0.4039	0.8869	0.4425	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (150.5%)
Tlaxcala	total	1.4261	0.0364	1.1720	0.8375	1.0654	0.0151	0.9984	0.6204	105.05	121.59	127.87	141.85	0.7731	0.1471	0.7228	0.4492	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (101.8%)
Veracruz	hombres	3.2270	0.0060	3.3935	3.2921	2.6424	0.0033	2.9152	2.7539	35.17	5.08	37.01	35.33	0.7510	0.0754	0.8302	0.7843	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (107.5%)
Veracruz	mujeres	3.1265	0.0196	2.7870	2.7063	2.5195	0.0098	2.1484	2.0974	41.33	14.88	35.14	34.26	0.7878	0.2409	0.6547	0.6391	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (113.6%)
Veracruz	total	4.7968	0.0113	4.8583	4.6900	3.9324	0.0048	4.0589	3.9210	28.44	3.32	28.70	27.77	0.7098	0.0714	0.7424	0.7172	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (109.8%)
Yucatan	hombres	N/A	0.0624	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0404	N/A	N/A	N/A	61.10	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.8056	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.6x)	OK (107.4%)
Yucatan	mujeres	N/A	0.0451	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0228	N/A	N/A	N/A	61.23	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.4514	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (148.2%)
Yucatan	total	N/A	0.0449	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0214	N/A	N/A	N/A	22.01	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2607	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (105.4%)
Yucatán	hombres	1.4605	N/A	1.7976	2.1481	1.1194	N/A	1.3885	1.5625	89.71	N/A	77.68	95.89	1.0301	N/A	1.1941	1.3437	Ensemble	OK (0.9x)	OK (84.3%)
Yucatán	mujeres	1.4672	N/A	1.6345	1.7666	1.0542	N/A	1.1493	1.1690	97.62	N/A	81.74	90.71	0.9834	N/A	0.9819	0.9988	Ensemble	OK (0.8x)	OK (100.0%)
Yucatán	total	2.3784	N/A	2.6283	2.8587	1.7423	N/A	1.8942	2.0340	64.69	N/A	54.65	60.74	0.9937	N/A	0.9928	1.0660	Ensemble	OK (0.9x)	OK (62.5%)
Zacatecas	hombres	0.6764	0.0475	0.7019	0.7906	0.5424	0.0272	0.5327	0.4107	168.18	186.22	169.60	200.00	0.8478	0.6892	0.8326	0.6419	Prophet	OK (1.0x)	OK (163.8%)
Zacatecas	mujeres	0.7658	0.0529	0.7908	0.9161	0.6100	0.0321	0.6040	0.5536	163.38	192.03	170.57	200.00	1.1663	0.9970	1.1550	1.0585	Prophet	OK (0.9x)	OK (175.8%)
Zacatecas	total	0.8450	0.0860	1.2005	1.4776	0.7016	0.0538	0.8804	0.9622	152.13	175.10	122.10	193.85	0.6292	0.8518	0.8590	0.9388	Ensemble	OK (0.9x)	OK (136.0%)
general	total	N/A	0.0561	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0488	N/A	N/A	N/A	52.91	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.3581	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	Moderado (1.4x)	OK (38.3%)
hombres	total	N/A	0.0119	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0097	N/A	N/A	N/A	16.00	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.5002	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (34.8%)
mujeres	total	N/A	0.0208	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0173	N/A	N/A	N/A	33.26	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.9232	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	Moderado (1.3x)	OK (25.5%)
region Metropolitana alta	hombres	N/A	0.0106	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0083	N/A	N/A	N/A	19.76	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3009	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (36.5%)
region Metropolitana alta	mujeres	N/A	0.0110	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0089	N/A	N/A	N/A	21.90	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.3433	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (47.5%)
region Metropolitana alta	total	N/A	0.0160	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0116	N/A	N/A	N/A	13.92	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2343	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.4x)	OK (39.4%)
region Rural / dispersa	hombres	N/A	0.0268	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0175	N/A	N/A	N/A	26.83	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.6248	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.5x)	OK (57.4%)
region Rural / dispersa	mujeres	N/A	0.0408	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0254	N/A	N/A	N/A	37.31	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.9523	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.7x)	OK (54.5%)
region Rural / dispersa	total	N/A	0.0583	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0392	N/A	N/A	N/A	28.64	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.8109	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.6x)	OK (51.8%)
region Sur-Sureste vulnerable	hombres	N/A	0.0116	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0059	N/A	N/A	N/A	11.15	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2468	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (49.9%)
region Sur-Sureste vulnerable	mujeres	N/A	0.0023	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0011	N/A	N/A	N/A	2.58	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0560	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.0x)	OK (66.4%)
region Sur-Sureste vulnerable	total	N/A	0.0079	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0039	N/A	N/A	N/A	4.21	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1048	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (49.1%)
region Urbana media	hombres	N/A	0.0095	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0041	N/A	N/A	N/A	6.09	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1543	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (51.5%)
region Urbana media	mujeres	N/A	0.0022	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0013	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.95	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0470	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.1x)	OK (38.5%)
region Urbana media	total	N/A	0.0169	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0089	N/A	N/A	N/A	6.34	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1827	N/A	N/A	DeepAR	OK (0.2x)	OK (41.4%)
region_Metropolitana alta	hombres	10.3557	N/A	9.0548	5.0985	8.2747	N/A	7.9419	4.1288	36.47	N/A	38.63	23.13	0.7281	N/A	0.7119	0.3701	Stacking	OK (0.6x)	OK (38.1%)
region_Metropolitana alta	mujeres	10.4418	N/A	5.3890	5.5633	8.4179	N/A	4.3729	4.3436	43.45	N/A	26.29	27.22	0.7975	N/A	0.4169	0.4141	Ensemble	OK (0.5x)	OK (53.9%)
region_Metropolitana alta	total	19.0251	N/A	9.2252	8.2719	15.2683	N/A	7.6734	6.6458	35.40	N/A	21.67	19.77	0.7523	N/A	0.3838	0.3324	Stacking	OK (0.6x)	OK (33.9%)
region_Rural / dispersa	hombres	9.4914	N/A	8.5430	8.3162	6.7150	N/A	6.5147	6.2785	33.27	N/A	33.77	32.90	0.8346	N/A	0.8116	0.7822	Stacking	OK (1.2x)	OK (27.8%)
region_Rural / dispersa	mujeres	9.1256	N/A	13.2892	13.3417	6.9633	N/A	8.4700	10.1080	40.98	N/A	41.82	49.12	0.9039	N/A	1.1098	1.3244	Prophet	Moderado (1.5x)	OK (27.5%)
region_Rural / dispersa	total	17.4346	N/A	18.5425	19.1252	12.6632	N/A	14.1185	15.7689	33.44	N/A	36.24	39.73	0.9129	N/A	1.0208	1.1401	Prophet	Moderado (1.6x)	OK (21.3%)
region_Sur-Sureste vulnerable	hombres	4.3145	N/A	4.1518	4.2907	3.5481	N/A	3.2814	3.2245	43.83	N/A	34.94	34.00	0.8985	N/A	0.7915	0.7778	Stacking	OK (0.9x)	OK (39.7%)
region_Sur-Sureste vulnerable	mujeres	3.3882	N/A	4.1600	4.0073	2.7431	N/A	2.8559	2.6378	41.75	N/A	34.98	32.29	0.8180	N/A	0.8408	0.7766	Stacking	OK (0.7x)	OK (47.9%)
region_Sur-Sureste vulnerable	total	6.4618	N/A	7.7784	7.5625	5.2245	N/A	5.5981	5.2330	34.36	N/A	32.26	29.74	0.8481	N/A	0.8720	0.8152	Stacking	OK (0.9x)	OK (33.7%)
region_Urbana media	hombres	9.9888	N/A	9.3562	9.6539	8.1299	N/A	6.8939	7.5453	23.67	N/A	21.33	22.87	0.7525	N/A	0.6458	0.7069	Ensemble	OK (0.7x)	OK (29.5%)
region_Urbana media	mujeres	9.3418	N/A	5.9076	5.7178	7.2792	N/A	4.7287	4.3780	25.00	N/A	15.74	14.69	0.6265	N/A	0.4208	0.3896	Stacking	OK (0.5x)	OK (28.8%)
region_Urbana media	total	16.1498	N/A	14.2055	12.3526	12.8218	N/A	11.2490	9.3199	20.41	N/A	17.86	15.03	0.6352	N/A	0.5769	0.4780	Stacking	OK (0.6x)	OK (25.2%)

Prophet / DeepAR / Ensemble / Stacking

Resumen por Padecimiento

Alzheimer

Nacional

Estatal (144 series)

Depresión

Nacional

Estatal (144 series)

Parkinson

Nacional

Estatal (144 series)